Here's where Reform could edge the Tories, Lib Dems and Labour in the election
Reform UK on course to win at least three seats at the general election, according to a new poll.
Nigel Farge is among a trio of candidates from the insurgent party set to storm into parliament.
He is predicted to win in Clacton by a handsome margin, meaning he will finally become an MP at the eighth attempt.
YouGov pollsters said Reform would benefit from a Tory pummelling on Thursday night.
As well as Mr Farage, former Tory MP Lee Anderson could cling onto his Ashfield seat, but this time for Reform.
Rupert Lowe is predicted to win for Reform in Great Yarmouth.
But victory could elude Reform UK chair Richard Tice in Boston & Skegness who may miss out in a tight race with the Conservative Matt Warman.
The YouGov survey puts Reform UK in third place on 15% in terms of vote share, behind Labour on 39%, the Tories on 22% with the Lib Dems on 12%.
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It comes after an MRP poll last week for Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus predicted that Reform could win 18 seats and a higher vote share than the Conservatives.
If that happens, Reform MPs are likely to include former leader Mr Tice, the businessman who bankrolled the party with loans of more than £1.4million before Mr Farage’s return.
Mr Anderson, the former Conservative deputy chairman and one-time Labour party member is seeking to retain the “red wall” seat of Ashfield he won for the Tories in 2019 with a majority of 5,733.
In March he became Reform UK’s first MP after being kicked off the Tory benches over his false claims that the London mayor, Sadiq Khan, was “controlled by Islamists”.
Former Southampton Football Club chairman, Mr Lowe could win Great Yarmouth, which was won in 2018 by the Conservatives’ Brandon Lewis with a majority of 17,663.
He won a seat for the Brexit party in the West Midlands constituency in the 2019 European parliament elections.
Other potential winners include Noel Matthews, Reform UK’s national organiser.
He is in with a shout of winning the Midlands seats of North West Leicestershire thanks to the unpredictable nature of how voters will behave there.
While the seat has long been held by the Conservatives, the Tory MP Andrew Bridgen is sitting as an independent after he was ejected from the party after comparing the use of Covid vaccines to the Holocaust.
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Simon Garvey, in the Yorkshire seat of Skipton and Ripon, is a former teacher who founded a business developing software apps for schools.
Another candidate with a chance of victory is Keiron McGill in Castle Point. Ukip came second in the Essex constituency in 2015, with 20,400 votes.
Sean Matthews, a former Metropolitan police officer, is attempting to overturn the 28,868 majority of the health secretary, Victoria Atkins, in Louth and Horncastle, in Lincolnshire.
MRP polls have Stephen Conlay on course to take the long-held Conservative seat of Basildon and Billericay.
The constituency became synonymous with the Conservative party of the early-80s as a result of “Basildon man”, a supposed voter type from working-class origins who was lured by Thatcherite ideals.
A win by Conlay, a semi-retired retail and property businessman, would deprive the Conservative party chair, Richard Holden, of a seat and could prove to be one of the biggest upsets of the night.
