Shock poll slashes Labour lead to 12 points – but not everyone agrees the gap is narrowing
While one new survey is good news for Rishi Sunak, another two suggest Labour's lead remains very strong.
Rishi Sunak has received an election boost after one poll slashed Labour’s lead to just 12 points.
JL Partners, which conducted a poll on Friday and Saturday, found the gap between Sir Keir Starmer and the Prime Minister had come down from 15 points to 12 points, thanks to a two-point boost to the Tories and a one-point fall for Labour.
The 12-point Labour lead is the smallest recorded since early February, days before the party lost two by-elections.
JL Partners also recorded a one-point fall for both Reform UK and the Lib Dems, to 12 percent and 10 percent respectively.
While the poll may give a glimmer of hope to the Tories, two other polls published provided a major warning to them.
A mega poll of 12,000 voters by Redfield & Wilton said Labour is 23 percent ahead of the Conservatives, with Labour up one point since the start of the election campaign.
Redfield & Wilton, whose poll also included the period during which Mr Sunak’s national service policy was announced, said 11 percent were still undecided.
According to the poll, just 46 percent of the party’s 2019 voters said they would vote Conservative again.
The company also found that women are five points more likely than men to be undecided about how to vote, at 13 percent to eight percent.
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A third poll from Survation also found an identical 23-point Labour lead, with Sir Keir’s party actually widening the gap over the Conservatives by two points since the PM called the election last Wednesday.
Survation said the Tories were down three points, with the Liberal Democrats the main beneficiaries - up three points.
Explaining the big disparity between the three polls, Election Maps UK said three deal with "don’t know" responses in different ways.
JL Partners, the most favourable poll for the Conservatives, tried to model how don’t knows will end up voting, while other pollsters make no adjustment or ask a follow-up "if you had to choose" question.
