Bombshell poll warns Tories will plummet to third as Reform wins huge seat haul
The latest MRP poll will spark fear in the Tory campaign, with the Liberal Democrats tipped to become the official opposition.
A bombshell General Election poll has revealed the Tories could fall to third behind the Liberal Democrats on July 4 and fail to form the official opposition in Parliament in a devastating wipeout.
A poll of 20,000 voters by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus suggested the Tories could collapse to just 60 seats, down by 305 on their 2019 result.
By contrast, Labour would win a mindboggling 450 seats, up by 247 under Jeremy Corbyn, and be left with a majority of 250.
The Lib Dems would come in second place with 71 seats.
There was also astonishing news for Reform UK, which would win 18 MPs - including some shock wins that no one has predicted.
The MRP poll suggested that former home secretary Suella Braverman could lose to Reform UK, with Nigel Farage also picking up other famous constituencies including John Major’s old seat of Huntingdon and Johnny Mercer’s seat of Plymouth Moor View.
It was the second MRP poll to suggest that Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will lose his ultra-safe North Yorkshire constituency of Richmond and Northallerton.
Other forcasted Cabinet casualties included Oliver Dowden, Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, Kemi Badenoch, Grant Shapps, Michelle Donelan, Victoria Atkins, Claire Coutinho, Mel Stride and Esther McVey.
The poll surveyed about 10 times the usual sample size of a normal election poll.
The SNP would fall by 24 seats to 24 seats, while the Green Party would win four seats - up from its current figure of one.
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Martin Baxter, of Electoral Calculus, said: "The Conservatives are predicted to be in third place in terms of both votes and seats.
"That would be a disaster for them. Labour looks set for a massive landslide, but with about one million fewer votes than Jeremy Corbyn got in 2017."
Such a win by Sir Keir Starmer would see him romp home with a majority more than 70 seats larger than that won by Tony Blair in 1997.
Despite a poll yesterday suggesting Mr Corbyn will lose his Islington North seat, this new poll says he will keep it as an independent candidate.
A number of polls over the past few weeks have suggested the Tories are now polling third behind Reform UK.
Mr Farage is polling around 19 percent, with the Tories behind on 18 percent.
A poll for the Express last Friday found Reform UK to now be on 20 percent in the polls.
