Humiliation for SNP as Commons leader could lose seat - with Tories standing strong

The latest poll comes as former leader of the SNP Alex Salmond demanded that Scottish voters instead back his pro-independence party, Alba.

By Christopher Sharp, News Reporter

Stephen Flynn at the 2023 SNP Conference

SNP's Westminster leader Stephen Flynn could lose his seat at the election according to a new poll (Image: Getty)

A brand new opinion poll has suggested that the SNP’s Westminster leader, Stephen Flynn, could lose his seat in the upcoming General Election - while the Tories vote remains as strong as it was a few months ago.

Earlier this month, a nationwide poll by Redfield & Wilton asked 12,000 respondents, including 1,080 Scottish voters, how they will vote on July 4.

Of the Scottish voters, 23 percent said they would vote for the SNP, 29 percent said they would vote for Labour, and 18 percent said they would vote for the Tories.

Furthermore, six percent said they would vote for Reform whilst four percent would choose the Liberal Democrats and six percent said they would not vote.

Former SNP leader Alex Salmond

Former SNP leader Alex Salmond has warned what could happen at the next election (Image: Getty)

The poll also revealed that one in 10 Scottish voters didn’t yet know who they would vote for. The Scottish Daily Express reported that according to Electoral Calculus, this would see Labour end up with 31 MPs, the Scottish Tories with 14 and the SNP with just seven.

As a result, the predictions mean that the SNP could face a massive humiliation at the next general election with the possibility that the party's House of Commons leader Stephen Flynn could lose his seat.

In the event of this scenario, the Conservative Party could gain Aberdeen South as well as Perth and Kinross-shire as well as other key seats that would form part of a brand new ‘Blue Wall’ in Scotland.

Other seats that could switch from the SNP to the Tories according to the Redfield & Wilton poll include Angus and Perthshire Glens, Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber, Ayr Carrick and Cumnock, Renfrewshire East, Ayrshire Central, and Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey.

The latest poll comes after former leader of the SNP Alex Salmond urged voters to back his Alba Party and warned about what could happen to his former party during the election.

Speaking to the Courier he said: “It’s obvious the SNP are losing about half the vote they had 10 years ago.

“Our message is not to waste your vote on the Unionist parties and vote for a real independence party in Alba. You can do the same thing over and over again expecting a different result.

“That’s what the SNP is doing, which is madness.”

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