Canada election results LIVE: Trudeau in trouble as he loses popular vote to Conservatives
CANADA has voted in its general election putting Justin Trudeau in power - but only with a minority government after he failed to fight off the Conservatives who won the popular vote.
Canada elections: Justin Trudeau wins second term as PM
According to the preliminary results released by Election Canada, Mr Trudeau’s Liberals had won or were leading in 157 out of 338 seats - 13 short of a majority. The votes show a deeply divided country, with the defeated Conservatives winning the popular vote. Mr Trudeau’s Conservative rivals led by Andrew Scheer are set to win 121 seats in the Canadian parliament.
This would represent a gain of 26 seats for the centre-right party - compared to the 95 seats it won at the previous election.
Meanwhile a resurgent separatist Bloc Quebecois made big strides in the mainly French-speaking province of Quebec.
The party led by Yves-Francois Blanchet, jumped to 32 seats from 10 seats in 2015.
Here are the latest updates on the Canada election results 2019 (all times BST).
READ MORE: Canada elections results: How smaller parties will play kingmaker
10.34pm update: Canada's current has steadied
The Canadian dollar changed very little on Tuesday holding near the earlier three-month high, as the country's energy sares overcame worries about a new oil pipeline development.
9.04pm update: What will happen next?
In the next few weeks, Mr Trudeau will put together a new cabinet after losing a few key ministers in this election.
He will then cusult with the governor general, who represents the Queen in Canada, to set a date to recall Parliament.
8.12pm update: Andrew Scheer keeps up the fighting talk
The Conservatives won 121 seats in Parliament on Monday, compared to 99 in 2015.
Mr Scheer spoke out against Mr Trudeau saying: "When your government falls, Conservatives will be ready and we will win."
7pm update: Jagmeet Singh shares his views
Leader of the New Democratic Party, Mr Singh told reporters that "Everything is on the table".
His party could hold the balance of power in the next parliament, outlined in his policy priorities.
He said: "I'm hoping that Mr Trudeau respects the fat that there's a minority government now, which means we've got to work together."
6.15pm update: 63 percent of Canadians believe Mr Scheer should resign
According to a poll conducted for Global News in Canada on election day, 63 percent of Canadians believe the Conservative leader should resign after he failed to capture more seats in Monday's election.
Voters were asked the same question about four of the five federal party leaders: Liberal leader Justin Trudeau, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet and Conservative leader Andrew Scheer.
It was Mr Scheer voters most wanted to oust.
5.06pm update: Pakistan's PM congratulates Mr Trudeau
Imran Khan, the Prime Minsiter of Pakistant tweeted a message to congratulate Mr Trudeau.
He wrote: "Congratulations to Justin Trudeau for winning rhe elections in Canada.
"I look forward to working with him."
4.04pm update: Business sentiment in the country has improved
The Bank of Canada has released its autumn Business Outlook Survey which suggestd that business sentiment in the country has improved slightly.
Nationally the figures show an incremental improvement, but regional differences demostrate a much more pronounced improvement.
3pm update: Canada's currency and energy shares fall
Reuters reported the Canadian dollar weakened against the greenback on Tuesday and its energy sector fell on the Toronto stock market.
It is thought investors are worried a minority government, dependent on left-leaning parties for support, will making building new oil pipelines difficult.
1pm update: Conservative Party leader to hold press conference following defeat
It has been announced that Andrew Scheer, Conservative Party of Canada leader, will be speaking at a press conference later today.
The conference will take place at 1pm ET (6pm BST), where Mr Scheer will no doubt face questions about his future as party leader.
11.30am update: Canada oil and gas sector fears for minority government
Justin Trudeau will be dependent on the New Democratic Party (NDP) to pass legislation under his minority government.
Both parties have pledged to tackle climate change at the expense of developing Canada's oil sands.
Tim Pickering, chief executive of Auspice Capital Advisers, which manages a Canadian crude oil exchange-traded fund, told Reuters:"This truly is the worst possible outcome.
"We have got a Liberal minority and the balance of power shifts to the NDP and the Greens, who are completely opposed to any progressive energy policies."
11am update: Aides predict Justin Trudeau will be able to govern for two years with few issues
In Canada, minority governments rarely last more than 2 1/2 years.
Reuters reported government aides believe Mr Trudeau will be able to govern for two years without many problems.
One senior Liberal also noted that many legislators needed to serve for another two years to meet the six-year requirement for a Parliamentary pension.
One anonymous Liberal said: "That gives us a pretty free hand for that period."
9.45am update: US President Donald Trump congratulates Justin Trudeau
A few hours ago US President Donald Trump took to Twitter to congratulate Justin Trudeau on his election win.
Mr Trump said: "Congratulations to @JustinTrudeau on a wonderful and hard fought victory.
"Canada is well served. I look forward to working with you toward the betterment of both our countries!"
9.15am update: Poll reporting nearly complete
At time of writing, Elections Canada data shows 73,232 out of 73,536 polling stations have reported their results.
This means 99.59 percent of polling stations across the country have now declared their vote counts.
9am update: Quebec separatist party deprives Trudeau of sweeping majority
Quebec separatist party Bloc Quebecois are on track to win 32 seats in this election - a huge jump from the ten seats the party gained in 2015.
Leader of the party, Yves-Francois Blanchet told supporters: "We have come so far but we will go further."
The Liberal Party had hoped to add ten seats to their total in Quebec, on top of the 40 seats they already held.
However, the Liberals ended up losing seven seats in the region - crushing their chances of a majority in the House of Commons.
8.30am update: Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer reacts to the election result
Mr Scheer has said the work of the Conservative Party of Canada is not over in the wake of their election defeat.
Speaking in Saskatchewan about Mr Trudeau, Mr Scheer said: "Tonight we have put him on notice.
"His leadership is damaged and his government will end soon and when that time comes, we will be ready and we will win."
He added: "We are the government in waiting."
(Katie Sewell taking over from Luke Hawker)
7.20am update: Trudeau defiant despite losing seats
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said: “From coast to coast to coast, tonight Canadians rejected division and negativity.
“They rejected cuts and austerity, and they voted in favour of a progressive agenda and strong action on climate change.
“I have heard you my friends, you are sending our liberal team back to work, back to Ottawa with a clear mandate.
“We will make life more affordable, we will continue to fight climate change, we will get guns off our streets and we will keep investing in Canadians.”
(Luke Hawker taking over from Brian McGleenon)
6.20am update
Justin Trudeau has said; “We will govern for everyone.
“We will work hard for you, your families and your family.”
He says that the nation has voted in favour of a progressive agenda.
6.00am update
Donald Trump has tweeted: “Congratulations to JustinTrudeau on a wonderful and hard fought victory. Canada is well served. I look forward to working with you toward the betterment of both of our countries!”
5.30am update
Chris O’Neill- Yates, Senior Reporter at CBCNews, tweeted: “Conservatives have won every single seat in Saskatchewan.
“Conservatives have won every seat in Alberta except Edmonton-Strathcona which has stayed NDP.
“The Trudeau Liberal challenge will be how to govern with no seats from Manitoba border to Lower Mainland of British Columbia. This will be a very divided Parliament.”
CBC News Alerts tweeted: “CBC News projects Liberal Adam van Koeverden will defeat Conservative incumbent Lisa Raitt in the Ontario battleground riding of Milton.
“CBC is projecting Conservative candidate James Cumming has won the battleground riding of Edmonton Centre, defeating Liberal incumbent Randy Boissonnault.”
5.15am update
@CBCMontreal tweeted: "Proud father and former Bloc Québécois leader Gilles Duceppe congratulates his son Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe on his win in Lac-Saint-Jean."
5.00am update
Australian ABC Election Analyst Antony Green has said that the Conservatives have actually received a higher share of the vote than the Liberals.
He tweeted: At this stage the Liberal Party will finish with a lower share of the national vote than the Conservatives, but win around 35 more seats.
“But it will be the lowest overall share for the combined traditional parties with both on around 34% each.”
4.30am update
CBC News Alerts tweeted: “CBC News projects Liberal Adam van Koeverden will defeat Conservative incumbent Lisa Raitt in the Ontario battleground riding of Milton.
“CBC is projecting Conservative candidate James Cumming has won the battleground riding of Edmonton Centre, defeating Liberal incumbent Randy Boissonnault.”
One thing we can say from these exit polls is that it has been a disappointing night for Andrew Scheer. The Conservative leader have not made the gains they had hoped for, with Scheer's attacking campaign failing to hit the mark.
The polls may project Liberals coming out with a minority, but the popular vote isn't looking so positive. Liberals are currently at 35.6%, according to Global News, with Conservatives close behind at 32.4%. This is a remarkably low popular vote percentage for a leading Canadian party, particularly for a prime minister running for a second term.
“Four more years!” chants the crowd—though it is still unknown whether it is going to be a minority or a majority government.
Leyland Cecco has our first results of the night.
Number of seats the party has won or is leading in:
Liberal 94
Conservatives 63
Bloc Québécois 16
New Democratic party 9
Green 1
While the Liberals have lost a handful of seats in Atlantic Canada, the party has nonetheless emerged largely unscathed.
But as results from Ontario and Quebec begin to pour in, the race is expected to tighten considerably.
The separatist Bloc Québécois party is hoping to make substantial gains in Québec, stealing back seats the Liberals won in 2015.
In the suburbs of Ontario, Conservatives are hoping to make gains as well, but early results don’t look promising for the party.
2.30am update
2.15am update
Liberal Health Minister Ginette Petitpas Taylor has kept her seat in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe.
2.00am update
NDP have won their first seat in Atlantic Canada.
Jagmeet Singh's party have taken their first riding, St John's East.
The Liberals took this seat in 2015, and were part of Trudeau's red wave.
1.45am update
As the first polls close in the Canadian election experts say it is still too close to call.
The first polls closed in the Canadian election at 7pm EDT (11pm UK time) on Monday in , according to a schedule issued by Elections Canada.
These were the provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador, which account for seven of the 338 seats in the House of Commons.
The Liberals of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who are seeking re-election, won all seven in the 2015 election that brought the party to power.
With six time zones stretching across the country, voting stations close at different times.
The last to close are those in the Pacific province of British Columbia, which will shut at 10 p.m. EDT (0200 GMT Tuesday).
1.30am update
Liberal Seamus O'Regan is the first minister to be re-elected according to polls, with 50% of the vote in his Newfoundland and Labrador riding.
He has been serving as Minister of Indigenous Services.
According to polls so far Liberals are in the lead in Eastern Canada, but Conservatives are performing much better than they did in 2015.
In Atlantic Canada, the polls reporting so far are putting Liberals at 16 and Conservatives at 7.
That plays out as a -10 loss for Liberals, according to Global News, which would alone be enough for Trudeau to lose his majority.
12.48am update
The first elected MP is Liberal Yvonne Jones in Newfoundland.
This isn't a surprising result as Newfoundland has gone Liberal 45 of the last 47 years.
Polls are starting to trickle in, with Liberals in Newfoundland leading with six ridings.
Initial polling data is putting Newfoundland at nearly all red (Liberals).
However interestingly the popular vote is showing a big difference from 2015.
Liberals had 65% of the popular vote in 2015, with Conservatives only at 10%.
However data so far shows the parties at 51% and 34% respectively.
11pm update:
Voting results are expected to come in first from Atlantic Canada at approximately 6pm EST (11pm in the UK), but more indicative results likely won't emerge until after polls close in Ontario and Quebec at around 9.30 pm EST (2.30 am in the UK).
Final polls will close at 10pm EST in British Columbia (3.00am in the UK).
With 170 ridings needed to win a majority government, here is how each of the parties stand at dissolution:
177 Liberal seats
95 Conservative seats
39 New Democratic Party
10 Bloc Quebecois seats
2 Green seats
1 People's Party of Canada seats
8 Independent MPs
And here is a reminder of the candidates:
Justin Trudeau - The Liberal Party
Andrew Scheer - The Conservatives
Jagmeet Singh - New Democratic Party
Elizabeth May - Green Party
Maxime Bernier - People's Party of Canada
Yves-François Blanchet - The Bloc Québécois
Additional reporting by Liam Doyle.
10pm update: Coalition possible outcome
With exit polls not expected for another few hours, it is worth visiting one of the possible outcomes.
A Canadian Parliamentary coalition hasn't taken form in well over 100 years, with the last time during World War One during 1907.
However, the dead heat between Trudeau and Scheer may necessitate one for a new government to take form.
The two parties most likely to team up are the Liberals and the NDP, with NDP leader Jagmeet Singh saying he is "absolutely" open to coalition talks.
Mr Scheer has caught onto this, and told supporters yesterday: "The choice tomorrow is between a Liberal-NDP coalition that will run massive deficits and leave less money in your pocket or a Conservative government that will get back to balanced budgets and make life more affordable.
"Trudeau would pay any price to stay in power and he'd use your money to do it.
"We want Canadians to send Conservative MPs to Ottawa to undo the damage that Justin Trudeau has caused."
9pm update: Trudeau sees friction from clashing priorities
Two main issues may hold voters back from voting for Justin Trudeau this year.
The Prime Minister is hoping to build oil pipelines through Canada, which would help bolster the country's industrial economy.
However, he is also hoping to meet targets set for the country by the Paris Climate Agreement, something many have taken as bluster as he has not revealed how he intends to do both.
Talking to Canadian magazine Macleans, Trudeau's Environment Minister provided no further explanation.
She said: “The point is right now, we need to get elected.
“If we are re-elected we will look at how best to do this.”
8.30pm update: Polls show neck-and-neck competition between top parties
According to Politico, the two main parties are neck and neck in the polls.
Justin Trudeau's Liberals are currently on 32 percent, as are Andrew Scheer's Conservatives.
The other vote distributions are as follows:
- New Democratic Party (NDP): 18 percent
- Green 8 percent
- Bloc Quebecois: 7 percent
- People's Party: 2 percent
Canada election: Scheer says voters ‘can’t trust’ Trudeau
8.15pm update: When do polls close?
Voting tines vary by constituencies in Canada, which is split across more than one time zone.
Voters go to the polls at the following times:
- Pacific: 7 am to 7pm.
- Alberta, Saskatchewan and Northwest Territories: 7.30 am to 7.30pm.
- Newfoundland: 8.30am to 8.30pm
- Atlantic: 8.30am to 8.30pm
- Manitoba: 8.30am to 8.30pm
- Eastern: 9.30am to 9.30pm