Midterm elections poll latest: Republican Ted Cruz leads Beto O'Rourke in Texas
MIDTERM elections are less than a week away and the race for Texas senator is one of the hottest. Here are all the latest details.
US midterm elections: Millenials could sway polls says reporter
Polls are showing Republican Senator Ted Cruz holds a three-point lead over his challenger Democrat Rep. Beto O’Rourke with days to go before the midterm elections.
While still in the lead, this latest poll shows a tightening gap between the candidates.
Internal Republican polling indicates that Mr. Cruz is ahead by about eight point, something not reflected in the public polls.
This indicates the importance of turnout: if turnout is as high as expected, particularly after the high early voter turnout.
Mr Cruz leads Mr O'Rourke 50 percent to 47 percent among likely voters surveyed in the Emerson College poll released on Thursday, with two percent of those surveyed still undecided.
The poll of 781 likely voters in Texas was conducted on October 28 to 30 and has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.
Who will win the US Midterms?
With less than a week until midterm elections, many have been citing a blue wave of victor for the Democrats.
A recent poll from a partnership between USA Today and Suffolk University has found high voter turnout this year is due to Donald Trump’s leadership.
In 35 percent of people currently involved in early voting, they cited Trump as the reason they were voting Democrat.
This seems to translate to a narrow lead for the Democrats in the polls, with 51 percent saying they’d vote blue over 43 percent saying they’d vote red.
But some political bettors are taking a dimmer view of the prospects of the ‘blue wave’.
While the odds suggest the Democrats have a 2 in 3 chance of taking the House, many are willing to wager against it.
And in a situation identical to Trump’s win in 2016, there’s a greater volume of pro-Republican bets, with their chance of an against-the-odds victory trending upwards in the day leading up to polling.
Latest odds from US Bookies:
Democrats 1/2 – 66 percent chance of winning
Republicans 6/4 – 33 percent chance of winning
No overall majority 100/1 – one percent chance of winning
Trump threatens to LEAVE midterm election rally in Florida
Democrats are predicted to win exactly 226 seats.
While the Republicans are predicted to hold 203 seats, based on the latest flurry of bets.
A US-Bookies.com political analyst said: “This one could be closer than a lot of people think. Whilst the odds favour the Democrats, a bigger audience of political bettors than ever before is backing the Republicans to run them right to the wire and as polling day approaches, the prospect of a red hold creeps higher and higher.”
“One thing is for certain – betting on American politics is booming worldwide and speculators made up of expats, those playing offshore and global analysts of events in Washington are feeding a huge market worth hundreds of thousands of dollars in an attempt to accurate forecast the outcome of this race.”