Rishi Sunak to lose his own seat as new poll predicts Tories wiped out to 39 MPs

The latest poll is yet another blow to the Tories after the PM's D-Day row.

By Christian Calgie, Senior Political Correspondent

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The Tories are on course to be left with just 37 seats after the election, a move that would prove a fatal extinction-level event for a party that has dominated British politics for 200 years.

The latest nightmare forecast puts Labour on 46%, with the Tories trailing behind on just 21%, nearly 10 points lower than John Major won in 1997.

Meanwhile, Reform UK is on 12%, lower than some other polls that put Mr Farage’s party within touching distance of overtaking the Conservatives.

The bombshell revelation is that, with this poll’s figures, Mr Sunak is on course to lose his own ultra safe seat of Richmond and Northallerton, where he currently enjoys a 27,000 majority.

The Tories’ worst ever election result was in 1906, when they crashed down to just 156 seats.

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Mr Sunak could lose his own seat this July (Image: Getty)

However numerous polls at the moment suggest the party will be lucky to achieve even half that number of seats at this election.

37 seats may not even be enough to guarantee that the Conservative Party would be the official opposition in the next parliament.

However, the polling company Deltapoll does caveat that its doomsday projection is based on a crude uniform swing and should be treated with caution.

Nonetheless, Joe Twyman, Co-founder and Director of Deltapoll, said: 'After a difficult few days for Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party, Deltapoll's results for today's Mail on Sunday will make for grim reading as party support hits an all-time low for this Parliament”.

The poll does reveal scepticism about Labour, however, despite their domineering lead.

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Sir Keir Starmer is on course for Labour's biggest ever majority (Image: Getty)

Only 13% of respondents agreed with Sir Keir Starmer’s claim at Tuesday’s debate that he would never use private healthcare for a family member who needed it.

Meanwhile 59% of voters are “worried” by the prospect of the Labour Party raising taxes by £2,000 per household, a claim repeatedly levelled at the party by the Tories.

A significant number also believe a Labour Government will reverse Brexit, with 41% fearing the party will undo the democratic decision to just 25% disagreeing.

Tories are currently terrified that last week’s D-Day gaffe could lead to Reform UK overtaking them with some polls.

One YouGov poll last week put the Mr Sunak’s party on just 19%, to Mr Farage’s party’s 17%.

Mr Farage has been keen to stick the knife in over the row, attacking the Prime Minister as someone “doesn’t understand our culture”.

This morning the Reform leader had to fend off allegations that his comments were ‘dog whistle’ racism, with criticisms from both Labour and the Tories.

However Mr Farage insisted that 40% of Britain’s war effort in WW1 and WW2 were contributed by the Commonwealth, and it was instead a criticism of Mr Sunak being too wealthy to understand real voters’ views.

The fieldwork for today’s Deltapoll survey began on Thursday, meaning all respondents gave their voting intention after the D-Day row broke in the news.

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