Election prediction MAP: THIS is what Britain could look like on Friday
ELECTION 2019 is merely hours away, with party leaders giving it their all for the final day of campaigning. And according to the latest election polls, this is what Britain could look like in the aftermath of the election.
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Millions will be heading to the polls tomorrow to cast their votes for the UK’s next Government. It’s been a fierce campaigning season, with the issue of Brexit hanging firmly in the balance. So what could Britain look like on Friday morning?
Oddschecker
Betting analysis firm Oddschecker has compiled odds data on Thursday’s election.
Oddschecker are currently forecasting a majority for Boris Johnson and the Conservatives.
According to its analysis, the Conservatives are on track to win 352 seats in this election.
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The Tories are followed by Labour, who are projected to win 212 seats - a drop of 50 seats for the party since 2017.
The SNP are forecast to win 43 seats in this election, gaining eight since 2017.
The Liberal Democrats are predicted to win 17 seats, an increase by five.
The Green party is forecast to keep hold of their one seat, while the Brexit Party are not predicted to win any seats.
YouGov
YouGov’s latest and final general election MRP model also shows the Conservative Party winning an overall majority in this election.
The data was collected between December 4 and December 10, and is the product of 105,612 interviews.
Predicted vote shares stand at 43 percent for the Conservatives, 34 percent for Labour, 12 percent for the Liberal Democrats and three percent for the Brexit Party.
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This votes translate into 339 seats for the Conservatives, 231 for Labour, 41 for the SNP and 15 for the Liberal Democrats.
This is enough to give the Conservatives a working majority of 28 in the House of Commons.
According to YouGov, a number of seats across the UK could be changing hands with tomorrow’s election.
The majority of Conservative gains in this election are expected to be in the north, the West Midlands and former mining areas in the East Midlands and County Durham.
Ipsos MORI
Ipsos MORI’s general election campaign tracker shows favourability towards Jeremy Corbyn has increased by four points in a week to 26 percent, but Boris Johnson looks likely to win a majority in this election.
Over the course of the election, public perceptions of the election outcome have been largely consistent.
Of those surveyed, 59 percent expected the Conservatives to emerge as the largest party (either in a hung parliament or as a majority government) in week one, and that figure is the same in week five.
In contrast, only 22 percent expect Labour to be the largest party – either in a hung parliament or as a majority government – compared to 20 percent in week one.