Game of Thrones: Is THIS when George RR Martin will FINALLY finish A Song of Ice and Fire?
GEORGE RR MARTIN has two Game of Thrones books to go in his A Song of Ice and Fire series, The Winds of Winter and A Dream of Spring, and a statistical analysis has predicted when he will finish.
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The first book of seven, A Game of Thrones, was first published in 1996 and with each succeeding novel in A Song of Ice and Fire series, the wait for the next has been getting longer and longer.
The last gap was six years between fourth book A Feast of Crows and fifth book A Dance with Dragons.
But with the success of the Game of Thrones TV show and other projects Martin has in the works, it’s coming up on seven years since the latter novel was released.
One bored fan on Reddit has used a statistical analysis of book numbers vs original release dates, which saw its quadratic model accurately predict them, within a margin of just 165 days.
Game of Thrones: Is THIS when George RR Martin will FINALLY finish A Song of Ice and Fire?
Looks like another nine years at least until A Song of Ice and Fire is completed
King_of_Pyjamas’s model reckons The Winds of Winter will arrive on November 21, 2018, but what about the last book A Dream of Spring? When will A Song of Ice and Fire be finally finished?
Well the model predicts that will take Martin almost nine years to write, meaning a release date of September 29, 2027 to be precise.
Although the Reddit user’s final estimation is as late as March 12, 2028.
This would be when Martin is 79-years-old and mean A Song of Ice and Fire would have taken him 31 years to write.
One frustrated fan even recently expressed concern that the author might not complete the series.
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George RR Martin hopes The Winds of Winter will be released this year
Taking into account a delay until the middle of the next decade, the concerned fan pointed out: “Martin is no spring chicken at 69.
“It's reasonable to worry that he might not be able to finish at this rate and equally reasonable to suspect he doesn't much care.”
The Winds of Winter is estimated to be released in 2018 or 2019.